Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 13.446408 15.274284 17.210955 19.410689 21.834718 24.419185 27.377804
2025-01-26 11.149726 13.727394 16.634209 20.134783 24.214739 28.798126 34.313739
2025-02-02 9.963736 13.171175 16.989880 21.822799 27.723592 34.639390 43.298632
2025-02-09 8.692378 12.291464 16.799480 22.769976 30.369651 39.614576 51.593961
2025-02-16 7.346361 11.098914 16.036127 22.863355 31.897292 43.268337 58.465716
2025-02-23 6.094923 9.833768 14.995903 22.436291 32.648661 45.916779 64.159411
2025-03-02 5.136731 8.828761 14.165069 22.159437 33.506456 48.676537 70.068117
2025-03-09 4.451901 8.119823 13.651251 22.234852 34.790465 52.007001 76.827714
2025-03-16 3.806154 7.371283 12.980458 21.990733 35.559862 54.622129 82.685421
2025-03-23 3.538364 7.199331 13.161313 23.007182 38.180171 59.903345 92.407890
2025-03-30 3.152166 6.765508 12.871254 23.253808 39.643327 63.572606 99.980212
2025-04-06 2.631761 6.009662 11.964262 22.429663 39.398810 64.715880 103.944182
2025-04-13 2.165304 5.289507 11.052863 21.541519 39.029989 65.709655 107.826833
2025-04-20 2.029027 5.202069 11.246827 22.518462 41.677811 71.354660 118.798871
2025-04-27 2.033028 5.406493 11.989925 24.489608 46.039541 79.792641 134.251546
2025-05-04 1.924971 5.353182 12.241832 25.607363 49.042019 86.233410 146.892526
2025-05-11 1.717731 5.044625 11.969667 25.757433 50.419160 90.167041 155.819255
2025-05-18 1.476776 4.613094 11.403885 25.314977 50.744315 92.419984 162.196988
2025-05-25 1.282344 4.256013 10.945276 25.026462 51.301377 95.042836 169.210548
2025-06-01 1.144542 4.015554 10.700912 25.120128 52.519383 98.764169 178.046608
2025-06-08 0.996619 3.717164 10.294727 24.856668 53.067414 101.378372 185.168665
2025-06-15 0.959811 3.724550 10.571766 25.983488 56.205576 108.432629 199.670232
2025-06-22 0.870863 3.561749 10.440011 26.258247 57.768142 112.858919 209.990861